Why are there first-round DE predictions for the Titans?

There are more mock drafts on the web than you can shake a stick at and for obvious reasons I view some as being more realistic and credible than others.
Many of the mocks are predicting the Titans will select a defensive end in the first round of the draft this year. While I understand why many of them have done that, it does make me wonder why some of the more reputable draftniks have also done so.
2009 is the last year on the contracts of Jevon Kearse and Kyle Vanden Bosch, so it’s not surprising that some of the mocks are projecting a DE selection by Tennessee at #30. My reaction to that is the people making those predictions haven’t done their homework.
They apparently aren’t aware of the quality depth behind The Freak and KVB. Jacob Ford and David Ball both performed solidly as backups in 2008. William Hayes began the season as a very raw player but gained valuable experience which will help the Titans down the road.

What puzzles me is why some of the better prognosticators aren’t taking that into consideration.
At least six different DEs have been forecasted to be the Titans’ first round selection. These are the ones I’m aware of:

Robert Ayers, Tennessee
Everette Brown, Florida State

Tyson Jackson, LSU
Michael Johnson, Georgia Tech
Paul Kruger, Utah
Aaron Maybin, Penn State
Incidentally, only one of those guys seems to be a typical 4-3 DE. Most of the rest look like tweeners between a 4-3 DE and 3-4 OLB. One, Jackson, appears to be a 3-4 DE or 4-3 DT. But that’s another topic for another time.
Getting back to the point, why are so many mock drafts predicting Tennessee will go with a DE in the first round? I’d love to read your opinions on this.

4 Responses to “Why are there first-round DE predictions for the Titans?”

  1. Bob Loblaw Says:

    Because the guys doing mock drafts don’t know their stuff. They spend a great deal of time trying to acquaint themselves with hundreds of potential draft picks. They then look at the draft order, review teams’ depth charts and try to figure out areas of need without much in-depth knowledge about the entire roster.
    Draft guru looks at the Titans and sees 30+ KVB coming off a season erased by injury, 30+ Kearse who stayed healthy but didn’t put up great statistics. He then looks at the reserves: David Ball who? Jacob Ford who? William Hayes who – oh yeah, the guy they foolishly traded up in the 4th round to get.
    He then notes that they replaced Haynesworth with Haye, and that the 4 DTs they have aren’t going to be cut, so the natural inclination is to believe that the Titans will attempt to compensate for the loss of Haynesworth by upgrading the DE position.
    I agree that they won’t go DL in the first Andrew, unless there’s a tremendous value at the spot. DB, LB, OL, and WR all rate as bigger areas of need in my book. Then again, there’s no telling – maybe they’ll draft Harvin to share the backfield with Johnson. They aren’t afraid to go against the grain and they love their running backs.

  2. Brad Says:

    I would like to go DE in like… I don’t know the 5TH ROUND! Although I agree we might need a DE we have another needs that are much greater. CB, WR, DT, LB, OT, C. After we draft a player for all of those positions then I would love to see us to go after a DE. LOL

  3. i.jason Says:

    There is another possible answer, though it’s unlikely, given the wide variety of names mentioned. Still, it’s possible that draft “gurus” are looking at the roster, seeing no serious needs for starters (except at WR, where the Titans are unlikely to go in the 1st round), assuming that the Titans will take BPA, and that a DE will be the Best Player Available at #30.
    I don’t know if that’s what’s going on, because I frankly try not to look at mock drafts much. My guess is that Bob is closer to correct than I am, but I thought I’d throw that out there.
    Personally, I’d like to see Clay Matthews on this team, just for the family connection, but I’m not holding my breath.

  4. will Says:

    i think tennessee at 30 should take a cornerback because if there will be no cb to take in round 2 only if moore falls and be’s a steal i think alphonso smith from wake forest or daruis butler from uconn will be a great pick for tennessee. and wr might be a hakeem nicks from unc or percy harvin from florida.darruis heyward-bey wont fall to 30 thats the fact

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